In 2004 Team USA looked invincible. Not only did it win the gold medal, but it went 7-0 and outscored opponents 51-1; the lone run scored against it came in the final game versus Team Australia. With a trio of superstar pitchers in Lisa Fernandez, Jennie Finch and Cat Osterman, and record setting power numbers from slugger Crystl Bustos, Team USA crushed every opponent to atoms. Team USA was equally dominant during the 1996 and 2000 Olympics; where it won the gold medal in a similarly brilliant fashion.
But Team USA’s rich history of dominance didn’t start with softball’s Olympic debut in 1996; rather, it began in 1965 when the United States first sent a softball team to the ISF World Softball Championships. Team USA reached the finals in both of its first two appearances at the ISF World Championships, but unfortunate errors in the final game prevented it from winning the title each time. Instead, the championship went to Team Australia in 1965 and Team Japan in 1970, but beginning in 1974 the United States has been practically untouchable in international play. Team USA has captured eight gold medals at the International Championships and has outscored opponents 650-45 en route to a 106-10 overall record since 1965.
Fresh off of its gold medal in the 2006 ISF World Championship, Team USA plans to add a new chapter to its long history of success at the 2008 Olympics. Though its trio of superstar pitchers from 2004 will be broken up in 2008 with legendary pitcher Lisa Fernandez serving in a replacement capacity only, Team USA has added NCAA superstar and NPF Champion pitcher Monica Abbot to its roster. The addition of Abbott to Team USA will create a new dominant trio of pitchers along with Jennie Finch and Cat Osterman. During Team USA’s 60-game “Bound 4 Beijing” Tour this summer, Abbott, Osterman and Finch have combined for 50 wins, 666 strike outs, a .50 ERA, and a .087 opponent batting average. Cat Osterman has led the trio with 247 of its strikeouts, a team low .42 ERA and a 15-0 record.
Though the American pitching staff is good enough to inspire terror in its opponents, Team USA doesn’t need to win with pitching—it is equipped to out hit any team in the world. During the “Bound 4 Beijing” Tour, Team USA had a .432 team batting average and hit 125 home runs. Jessica Mendoza led the US with a .495 batting average, 102 hits, 89 runs, and 107 RBI; and Crystl Bustos supplied the power, leading Team USA with 28 home runs and 93 RBI of her own.
Despite their history of dominance and status as a clear favorite for the 2008 Olympics, there are some indications that the international softball community may be catching up to Team USA. The clearest example came in the 2006 World Championships in Beijing, China, where Team Japan, despite Team USA’s impressive roster, defeated Team USA 3-1 in the final round of group play. Additionally, the rosters of several international teams now include athletes that have played on American college teams. Team USA will face stiff competition from China, Japan, Australia, Canada, and the Netherlands.
China
The biggest threat to a fourth consecutive gold medal by Team USA is Team China. China is the host country for the 2008 Beijing Olympics, and aside from having “home field advantage,” the entire nation has dreams of winning the overall medal count. China’s passion for victory on its home turf will be a significant factor in this year’s games, and its roster has the talent to achieve its goal. Team China is led by ace pitcher Lu Wei, who compiled a 2-3 record, 29 strike-outs, and a 0.78 ERA at the 2004 Olympics; and excelled at the 2006 World Championships with a 0.00 ERA, 22 strike-outs, and 2-1 record. Wei, at 25 years old, is in the prime of her career and is poised for a breakout performance at the 2008 Olympics. The Chinese also have a potential superstar in 20-year-old Olympic rookie Yin Zhou. Zhou stands tall at 6’2” and has been nicknamed the “Yao Ming” of softball by her teammates. Zhou has honed her skills as a collegiate player in the United States, at Lassen Community College in Sugarville, California. If pitchers Lu Wei and Yin Zhou turn in excellent performances, they could lead Team China to an epic dethroning of Team USA.
Japan
The Japanese Olympic team is equally as scary as the Chinese. Team Japan will benefit from the short trip it gets to make to the Games, and will be riding a wave of success it has enjoyed over the past four years. Japan won the bronze medal at the 2004 Olympics, dominated the 2006 Asian games with a 4-0 record and a gold medal, and won the silver medal at the 2006 ISF World Championships. During the 2006 ISF World Championships Japan also handed Team USA its only loss in international competition since 1988. Team Japan also has its own superstar in pitcher Yukiko Ueno, who has a fastball clocked at over 70 miles per hour. Ueno threw the Olympics’ only perfect game in 2004, and went 3-2 with a 0.46 ERA and 31 strike-outs; Ueno allowed just 9 hits and 1 walk in 30 2/3 innings. Baseball is the most popular sport in Japan, and the nation’s baseball obsession has led many young ladies to pursue softball—leading to a crop of talented young players that make up the Japanese Olympic team. Team Japan has a legitimate chance to win gold in 2008.
Australia
While Team USA stole the show at the 2004 Olympics, Team Australia wasn’t very far behind. The Australians went 6-1 in the 2004 Olympics, losing their only game to Team USA in the final game, and they scored the only run recorded against Team USA in 2004. Pitcher Tanya Harding, who went 4-1, had a .79 ERA and threw 18 strike-outs, will return to the team for her fourth consecutive Olympics. Team Australia has three players that have collegiate softball experience in America: Tanya Harding, Melanie Roche, and Stacey Porter. Harding was a standout at UCLA, Melanie Roche was a star pitcher at Oklahoma State University and threw a shut-out against Lisa Fernandez’s UCLA Bruins in the 1993 Women’s College World Series, and Stacey Porter played for the University of Hawaii and remains its all-time leader in home runs. Australia also has a robust amateur softball system, similar to America, which will provide the team plenty of home-grown talent. With a collection of NCAA-tested veterans and young domestic talent, Team Australia has a shot at going for the gold.
Canada
The Canadian National Team will field seven players that have played at the college level in the United States—most have already played against members of Team USA, and that extra experience may give them an advantage in head-to-head play. Team Canada also has their own superstar in pitcher Lauren Bay-Regula, sister of MLB slugger Jason Bay, who can help Canada upset some higher-seeded teams in Beijing. Bay-Regula was an all-star at Oklahoma State University, where she recorded a 25-10 overall record, set a team record for strike-outs in a single season with 451, and is the University’s all-time career strike-out leader with 1,151. With a roster of battle-tested NCAA players and Lauren Bay-Regula leading the team, Canada may have a few surprises in store in 2008.
Netherlands
Though the Netherlands is new to the international softball scene and finished a disappointing twelfth at the 2006 ISF World Championships, Team Netherlands is committed to winning in 2008. It recently finished an exhaustive world softball tour this summer, and has a quality pitcher that gives it a chance to go the distance. Kristie de Vries was a standout pitcher at Ohio State University from 2001 to 2004, amassed 59 wins, 624 strikeouts, a 1.52 career ERA, and was the Buckeye’s 2004 team MVP. Though a long shot for the gold in Beijing , the Netherlands has enough talent to warrant attention, and if any team overlooks the Dutch it could be in for a nasty surprise!
Olympic Prediction
Though Team USA will face tougher competition in 2008 than it did in 2004, its combination of excellent pitching and superb hitting will overwhelm the international field and lead Team USA to its fourth consecutive gold medal.